Page 07 of 15Sensitivity

Resident question

How wide could the result be?

Answer so far

Low, base, and high cases are defined as three full schedules. Current case outputs remain blank because material inputs are incomplete. The cases are not probabilities and do not rank the paths.

The relationship to hold onto

Sensitivity tests the model—not the public’s values.

Three input setsEach case has explicit, source-bound values.
Three full schedulesAll six paths recalculate across Year 0–30.
One visible rangeThe spread is interpreted with its missingness and limits.

No percentage shortcut

A complete schedule must change coherently

Timing, financing, operating effects, lifecycle exposure, and terminal position cannot be represented by multiplying one base-case total.

Interpretation boundary

Low is not “best” and high is not “worst”

Cases test defined input conditions. They are not likelihood judgments, advocacy labels, or a resident preference score.

Full schedule

LOW

Six paths × 31 years

Required input set incomplete
Full schedule

BASE

Six paths × 31 years

Required input set incomplete
Full schedule

HIGH

Six paths × 31 years

Required input set incomplete
See the workbook connection and limits

Workbook binding: WMS Sensitivity!A1:L42; WMS Sensitivity Engine (558 rows)

Three cases × six paths × 31 years = 558 sensitivity rows.

A case remains blank if its required input set is incomplete.

Controlled baseline: v0.7, SHA-256 d35db6de8563ce17bd311f760ac14a607f35839e452d2865477dc067d405b6ff.

Open the full source, missingness, and calculation contract →