Page 12 of 15Evidence-bound observations

Resident question

What follows so far?

Answer so far

The record supports continued disciplined comparison and a bounded bridge reconciliation. It does not support narrowing to a permanent path or asserting terms, property, site, MSBA, scope, cost, financing, tax, or vote outcomes.

The relationship to hold onto

Every conclusion carries a stop line.

Evidence statementName the fact and source class.
Reasoning stepExplain what follows—and why.
Do-not-infer boundaryState the conclusion the record cannot support.

Working conclusion

Continue the comparison; do not narrow it

Complete current condition, bridge, legal, property, MSBA, project, funding, civic, and authority work while preserving all six paths and their failure branches.

Claim control

The 30% enrollment-growth claim is not established

It cannot be used to establish urgency, design capacity, project scope, cost, or a preferred path without a controlling source and applicable analysis.

OBS-01

The decision is broader than building condition.

Facility, governance, property, finance, school service, and public authority must be read together.

OBS-02

The bridge record requires item reconciliation.

The reported headline and official FY2027 list may overlap; the simple sum is prohibited.

OBS-03

The 2021 CNA remains historical.

It is useful context, not current feasibility, scope, or cost.

OBS-04

Operating control and ownership are different questions.

Agreement terms do not automatically act as a deed or resolve liabilities.

OBS-05

MSBA stages cannot be collapsed.

SOI, invitation, eligibility, feasibility, grant, and funding are distinct.

OBS-06

Aggregate context is not a project allocation rule.

Budget, apportionment, assessed value, and tax rate do not establish local project cost.

OBS-07

Calculation-ready is not decision-ready.

Legal, civic, property, safety, and authority blockers may remain after numbers calculate.

OBS-08

Terminal position matters.

Assets, rights, obligations, and debt affect the 30-year comparison.

See the workbook connection and limits

Workbook binding: WMS Repository Observations!A1:L44

Observations add no new model input.

Each statement remains traceable to the repository snapshot and its do-not-infer boundary.

Controlled baseline: v0.7, SHA-256 d35db6de8563ce17bd311f760ac14a607f35839e452d2865477dc067d405b6ff.

Open the full source, missingness, and calculation contract →